Our Solar System

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Northern lights in Alaska and the northern US

Fairbanks lies under the auroral oval and sees it overhead on ordinary nights. Across the northern tier of the lower 48 it takes a minor to moderate storm, and further south a strong one.

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Tonight, town by town

Each town's corrected geomagnetic latitude and the Kp that brings the aurora onto its northern horizon or overhead, on NOAA's rule, with tonight's verdict from NOAA's forecast for its hours of darkness. Clouds are not included.

TownGeomag. latitudeOn the horizon fromOverhead fromHow often (NOAA)Tonight
Utqiaġvik70.5°any Kpany Kpbelow storm levelLoading…
Fairbanks65.2°any KpKp 0.4below storm levelLoading…
Anchorage61.1°Kp 0.2Kp 2.4below storm levelLoading…
Juneau61.0°Kp 0.2Kp 2.5below storm levelLoading…
Caribou, Maine53.9°Kp 3.8Kp 6.1 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Marquette, Michigan55.8°Kp 2.9Kp 5.1 (G1)below storm levelLoading…
Duluth, Minnesota56.0°Kp 2.8Kp 5.0 (G1)below storm levelLoading…
Fargo, North Dakota55.8°Kp 2.8Kp 5.1 (G1)below storm levelLoading…
Great Falls, Montana54.7°Kp 3.4Kp 5.6 (G1)below storm levelLoading…
Seattle52.9°Kp 4.3Kp 6.6 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Chicago51.4°Kp 5.1 (G1)Kp 7.3 (G3)G1: about 900 days per 11-year cycleLoading…
New York49.0°Kp 6.3 (G2)Kp 8.5 (G4)G2: about 360 days per 11-year cycleLoading…

What the local experts say

Fairbanks' season

The UAF Geophysical Institute: "Here in Fairbanks, at about latitude 64.8, our aurora viewing season is roughly August 21 to April 21." The table below shows how short the summer nights are.

University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute

The hours

UAF: "9 p.m. to 3 a.m. is typically the time period with higher probability of seeing spectacular auroral displays."

University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute

The lower 48

NOAA's scale: at G1 (Kp 5) "aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"; at G2 (Kp 6) "as low as New York and Idaho"; at G3 (Kp 7) "as low as Illinois and Oregon".

NOAA SWPC

Look north

UAF: "At lower latitudes, you might be able to see aurora on the northern horizon when activity picks up a little." NOAA: at Kp 6 to 7 "it might be possible to see the aurora from the northern edge of the United States."

University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute

How dark it gets, month by month

Hours with the Sun more than 12° below the horizon on the 15th of each month, which is dark enough for the aurora to show, and the middle of the night on the local clock in midwinter. "None" means the aurora cannot be seen even when it is there.

TownJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecDarkest
Utqiaġvik16 h12 h8 hnonenonenonenonenone5 h11 h15 h17 h01:26
Fairbanks14 h12 h9 h4 hnonenonenonenone7 h11 h14 h15 h00:50
Anchorage14 h12 h9 h5 hnonenonenone4 h8 h11 h13 h14 h00:58
Juneau14 h12 h9 h6 h2 hnonenone5 h8 h11 h13 h14 h23:56
Caribou, Maine13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h6 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h23:30
Marquette, Michigan13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h6 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h00:48
Duluth, Minnesota13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h6 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h00:07
Fargo, North Dakota13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h6 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h00:25
Great Falls, Montana13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h5 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h00:24
Seattle13 h11 h10 h8 h6 h5 h5 h7 h9 h11 h12 h13 h00:08
Chicago12 h11 h10 h9 h7 h6 h7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h23:49
New York12 h11 h10 h9 h7 h7 h7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h23:55

Check your own town

Anywhere in the world: your geomagnetic latitude, what it takes there, tonight's dark hours and NOAA's forecast for them.

Aurora alerts by email

Free, and only on nights the forecast brings the aurora within reach of your sky. Checked once a day.

Kp, the last day and the next three

NOAA's planetary Kp in three-hour blocks. From Kp 5 it is a geomagnetic storm.

ObservedEstimated (today)Predicted by NOAATimes in your time zone

Questions

What Kp do I need to see the northern lights in Alaska and the northern US?

It depends on the town. Utqiaġvik needs no storm: on NOAA's rule the aurora can reach its horizon at any Kp. New York needs about Kp 6.3 (G2) for the aurora low on the northern horizon and Kp 8.5 (G4) for overhead. The table on this page has every town. These come from NOAA's rule of thumb (the oval's edge at about 66° geomagnetic latitude at Kp 0, 2° nearer the equator per Kp step) with 500 km of horizon, which NOAA calls approximate. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

When is it dark enough?

Not all year. Utqiaġvik has no proper darkness in Apr, May, Jun, Jul, Aug; Fairbanks has no proper darkness in May, Jun, Jul, Aug; Anchorage has no proper darkness in May, Jun, Jul: the Sun never gets 12° below the horizon. The months table on this page shows the hours of darkness each month. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

What time of night is best?

NOAA: "Best aurora is usually within an hour or two of midnight (between 10 PM and 2 AM local time)." In midwinter the darkest hours here are centred near 01:26 on Utqiaġvik's clocks. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

Which way should I look?

North. NOAA: "Find a place where you can see to the north (or south if you are in the southern hemisphere)." Further from the oval it shows only low over that horizon, and a camera records more than the eye. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Met Office)

How often does it happen?

NOAA counts about 900 days per 11-year solar cycle at G1 (Kp 5), 360 at G2 (Kp 6) and 130 at G3 (Kp 7). Towns that need no storm can see it on many clear, dark nights; NOAA notes "very nice auroral displays even with low geomagnetic activity (Kp = 3 or 4)" from the right place. (NOAA SWPC, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)