Our Solar System

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Southern lights in New Zealand and Tasmania

The aurora australis is the same light round the south magnetic pole. From Tasmania and New Zealand's South Island it shows low over the southern horizon when Kp climbs.

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Tonight, town by town

Each town's corrected geomagnetic latitude and the Kp that brings the aurora onto its southern horizon or overhead, on NOAA's rule, with tonight's verdict from NOAA's forecast for its hours of darkness. Clouds are not included.

TownGeomag. latitudeOn the horizon fromOverhead fromHow often (NOAA)Tonight
Oban (Stewart Island)54.6°Kp 3.5Kp 5.7 (G1)below storm levelLoading…
Invercargill54.0°Kp 3.7Kp 6.0 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Dunedin53.1°Kp 4.2Kp 6.5 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Queenstown52.6°Kp 4.5Kp 6.7 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Lake Tekapo51.2°Kp 5.2 (G1)Kp 7.4 (G3)G1: about 900 days per 11-year cycleLoading…
Christchurch50.3°Kp 5.6 (G1)Kp 7.9 (G3)G1: about 900 days per 11-year cycleLoading…
Wellington47.6°Kp 6.9 (G2)beyond Kp 9G2: about 360 days per 11-year cycleLoading…
Hobart53.7°Kp 3.9Kp 6.1 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Launceston52.2°Kp 4.7Kp 6.9 (G2)below storm levelLoading…
Melbourne48.6°Kp 6.5 (G2)Kp 8.7 (G4)G2: about 360 days per 11-year cycleLoading…

What the local experts say

Look south

NOAA: "Find a place where you can see to the north (or south if you are in the southern hemisphere)." From here the aurora sits low over the southern horizon unless the storm is strong.

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Watches and alerts

Australia's Bureau of Meteorology issues Aurora Watches, "warnings with lead times of up to 48 hours", and Aurora Alerts "when space weather activity favourable for viewing aurora is in progress".

Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Space Weather Services

Lower K, lower latitude

The Bureau: "The larger the K index, the greater the chance of seeing an aurora at lower latitudes." Southland and Stewart Island need the least, Melbourne the most.

Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Space Weather Services

The season

Winter (May to August here) gives the longest nights. The Met Office notes that the best viewing is typically around the equinoxes, in March and April and in September and October.

Met Office blog

How dark it gets, month by month

Hours with the Sun more than 12° below the horizon on the 15th of each month, which is dark enough for the aurora to show, and the middle of the night on the local clock in midwinter. "None" means the aurora cannot be seen even when it is there.

TownJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecDarkest
Oban (Stewart Island)6 h8 h9 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h8 h6 h5 h00:49
Invercargill6 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h8 h6 h5 h00:49
Dunedin6 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h8 h7 h5 h00:40
Queenstown6 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h8 h7 h6 h00:48
Lake Tekapo6 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h9 h7 h6 h00:40
Christchurch7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h13 h12 h10 h9 h7 h6 h00:32
Wellington7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h12 h12 h10 h9 h7 h6 h00:23
Hobart7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h12 h12 h10 h9 h7 h6 h00:12
Launceston7 h8 h10 h11 h12 h13 h12 h12 h10 h9 h7 h6 h00:13
Melbourne7 h9 h10 h11 h12 h13 h12 h11 h10 h9 h8 h7 h00:22

Check your own town

Anywhere in the world: your geomagnetic latitude, what it takes there, tonight's dark hours and NOAA's forecast for them.

Aurora alerts by email

Free, and only on nights the forecast brings the aurora within reach of your sky. Checked once a day.

Kp, the last day and the next three

NOAA's planetary Kp in three-hour blocks. From Kp 5 it is a geomagnetic storm.

ObservedEstimated (today)Predicted by NOAATimes in your time zone

Questions

What Kp do I need to see the southern lights in New Zealand and Tasmania?

It depends on the town. Oban (Stewart Island) needs about Kp 3.5 for the aurora low on the southern horizon and Kp 5.7 (G1) for overhead. Wellington needs about Kp 6.9 (G2) for the aurora low on the southern horizon and more than Kp 9 for overhead. The table on this page has every town. These come from NOAA's rule of thumb (the oval's edge at about 66° geomagnetic latitude at Kp 0, 2° nearer the equator per Kp step) with 500 km of horizon, which NOAA calls approximate. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

When is it dark enough?

Every month has some darkness at these towns, longest in midwinter. The months table on this page shows the hours. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

What time of night is best?

NOAA: "Best aurora is usually within an hour or two of midnight (between 10 PM and 2 AM local time)." In midwinter the darkest hours here are centred near 00:49 on Oban (Stewart Island)'s clocks. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)

Which way should I look?

South. NOAA: "Find a place where you can see to the north (or south if you are in the southern hemisphere)." Further from the oval it shows only low over that horizon, and a camera records more than the eye. (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Met Office)

How often does it happen?

NOAA counts about 900 days per 11-year solar cycle at G1 (Kp 5), 360 at G2 (Kp 6) and 130 at G3 (Kp 7). Towns that need no storm can see it on many clear, dark nights; NOAA notes "very nice auroral displays even with low geomagnetic activity (Kp = 3 or 4)" from the right place. (NOAA SWPC, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center)